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Spillover of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa

digital Spillover of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa
Article
journal RIVISTA INTERNAZIONALE DI SCIENZE SOCIALI
issue RIVISTA INTERNAZIONALE DI SCIENZE SOCIALI - 2015 - 4
title Spillover of Military Regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa
authors

publisher Vita e Pensiero
format Article | Pdf
online since 04-05-2016
issn 0035-676X (print) | 1827-7918 (digital)
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We analyse institutional spillover in military regimes in Sub-Saharan Africa, from 1972 through 2007, by means of a Markov chain transition model. This method allows us to study in a unified framework both the occurrence and the persistence of military dictatorships. We find a robust spatial autocorrelation between military governments in the short-run, but this process is shortly lived, since we observe an overall trend that reduces the number of military regimes. We find some interesting asymmetries between transition and persistence results, in particular for GDP and external hostility.

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