History: Sunk Cost, or Widespread Externality?
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In an intertemporal Arrow-Debreu economy with a continuum of agents, suppose that the auctioneer
sets prices while the government institutes optimal lump-sum transfers period by period. An
earlier paper showed how subgame imperfections arise because agents understand how their current
decisions such as those determining investment will influence future lump-sum transfers. This observation
undermines the second efficiency theorem of welfare economics and makes «history» a widespread
externality. A two-period model is used to investigate the constrained efficiency properties of
different kinds of equilibrium. Possibilities for remedial policy are also discussed.
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